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Expected free energy as an information constraint on the Bethe Lagrangian
Active inference selects actions by minimising an expected free energy functional of predicted futures. However, the expectation over …
Wouter M. Kouw
Balancing time and precision with active sensor selection and positioning
High-precision sensing systems often have multiple sensor modalities at their disposal, each trading measurement precision against …
Esther Van Pelt
,
Alexandru Onose
,
Ruud Van Sloun
,
Harm Belt
,
Wouter M. Kouw
Expected free energy planning with learned external-camera measurement reliability
A robot planning under uncertainty must trade goal progress against whether it will be able to localize itself effectively at potential …
Joost Leliveld
,
Ömür Arslan
,
Wouter M. Kouw
Expected free energy-based informative path planning for robotic mars exploration
An autonomous robot efficiently exploring an unknown environment, such as looking for water sources on Mars, faces two simultaneous …
Ajith Anil Meera
,
Pablo Lanillos
,
Wouter M. Kouw
A factor graph approach to scalable multi-output Gaussian process regression
Multi-output Gaussian process regression scales cubically in the number of observations times outputs, and dense kernel-matrix methods …
Wouter Nuijten
,
Albert Podusenko
,
İsmail Şenöz
,
Esther Van Pelt
,
Wouter M. Kouw
PDF
Code
Spike-based belief propagation in nonlinear dynamical systems
This paper presents a Bayesian control framework that integrates spike-based dynamics with probabilistic inference for adaptive …
Sepideh Adamiat
,
Hongye Wang
,
Wouter M. Kouw
,
Bert De Vries
PDF
Project
Composing non-conjugate factor graphs with closed-form variational inference
We identify five factor-graph primitives: a bilinear factor, an exponential link, a Gamma prior, a Gaussian likelihood, and an equality node, and prove that any model composed from them admits closed-form variational message passing
Mykola Lukashchuk
,
Kyrylo Yemets
,
Wouter M. Kouw
,
Dmitry Bagaev
,
İsmail Şenöz
,
Jeff Beck
,
Bert De Vries
PDF
Code
Effects of priors on epistemic uncertainty in autoregressive active inference
Intelligent agents learn to solve tasks through interactions with their environment. We study autoregressive active inference agents …
Esther Van Pelt
,
Tim N. Nisslbeck
,
Harm J.W. Belt
,
Ruud J.G. Van Sloun
,
Wouter M. Kouw
PDF
Bayesian autoregression to optimize temporal Matérn-kernel Gaussian process hyperparameters
We present a probabilistic numerical procedure for optimizing Matérn-class temporal Gaussian processes with respect to the kernel covariance function’s hyperparameters based on Bayesian autoregression.
Wouter M. Kouw
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Code
Message passing-based inference in an autoregressive active inference agent
We present the design of an autoregressive active inference agent in the form of message passing on a factor graph.
Wouter M. Kouw
,
Tim Nisslbeck
,
Wouter Nuijten
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